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Uber Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: Bookings Growth Meets Autonomous Ambitions | 4th November 2025

Uber Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: Bookings Growth Meets Autonomous Ambitions | 4th November 2025

Uber’s Growth & Gear Shift

Uber Technologies is scheduled to report its Q3 2025 earnings after U.S. markets close on Tuesday, November 4. With ride-hailing and delivery volumes showing signs of recovery, investor focus has shifted to how well Uber can capitalise on this momentum — while simultaneously advancing its autonomous vehicle (AV) strategy and maintaining profitability in the face of heavy investment.

Uber Performance Snapshot

Analyst estimates point to gross bookings around US$48.97 billion, up from ~US$40.97 billion a year ago.

Revenue for 2025 is projected at about US$51.43 billion, implying ~16.9% growth year-on-year.

Adjusted EPS estimates vary; some compute around US$0.91 per share.

Uber Q3 2025 Earnings Forecast: Current Price & Context

Uber shares are currently trading in the region of US$100–US$105, reflecting cautious optimism around its rebound in bookings and potential upside from its AV partnerships. With gross bookings projected to be nearly US$49 billion, investors will watch whether the increased scale translates into accelerated profitability and how the autonomous segment begins to contribute to the long-term narrative.

Key Focus Areas

1.Gross Bookings Momentum & Delivery Recovery — With ride and delivery segments resurging, the scale of bookings growth will be a major performance anchor.

2.Autonomous & Mobility Partnerships — Investors will look for updates on Uber’s collaborations with companies like Waymo and NVIDIA Corporation (in the AV stack) to assess the “next-gen mobility” trajectory.

3.Profitability & Cost Leverage — With growth comes rising costs (drivers, logistics, tech). The margin outlook and operating leverage will matter as Uber scales.

4.Capital Allocation & Share Buyback — How Uber deploys its free cash flow — whether into growth, partnerships or buybacks — will influence investor sentiment.

5. Macro & Consumer Demand Sensitivity — As a platform exposed to consumer behaviour, macroeconomic conditions, and travel/delivery trends will impact performance.

Technical and Market Outlook

Trend: Moderately bullish — with upside potential if bookings beat expectations.

Resistance: ~$115

Support: ~$90–95

Forecast: A strong print could lift the stock toward ~$120+, but weak guidance or margin softness could see retest of the ~$90 level.

Investor Sentiment

Sentiment is cautiously optimistic: many believe Uber’s platform resilience is improving, yet the AV story and cost discipline remain significant risk factors. Institutional investors are watching for “proof of progress” rather than just bright headlines.

Wrap-up

Uber’s upcoming Q3 earnings report will be more than a numbers event — it’s potentially a reaffirmation of its transition from rebound to sustainable growth. The rise in bookings is encouraging, but meaningful gains will come only if Uber shows it can convert higher volume into improved margins and lay out a credible path for its AV and mobility business. For investors, the key question is: Is Uber back — and if so, how strong and how fast?

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Central Banks Drive FX Moves: RBA Holds, BoJ Hints at Hikes | 4th November 2025

Central Banks Drive FX Moves: RBA Holds, BoJ Hints at Hikes | 4th November 2025

RBA Holds, Yen Rises

Global currency markets opened the week on a cautious tone as central bank signals dominated sentiment. The Australian Dollar initially strengthened after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held interest rates steady at 3.6%, though gains were tempered by a stronger U.S. Dollar and renewed volatility in commodity prices. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen advanced as speculation grew over potential rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Elsewhere, the British Pound paused its recent slide, while the Canadian Dollar weakened amid softer crude oil prices and firm U.S. yields.

GBP/USD Forecast

Current Price and Context

GBP/USD steadied near 1.3150 after a prolonged downtrend, as the Pound found support from softer U.S. Treasury yields and short-term profit-taking on the Dollar. Market participants remain cautious ahead of key U.S. data, which could redefine expectations for the Federal Reserve’s policy path.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Global market unease over Middle East tensions continues to boost demand for the U.S. Dollar as a defensive play.

  • US Economic Data: Investors await U.S. nonfarm payrolls and CPI data for signs of economic resilience.

  • FOMC Outcome: Fed officials’ hawkish tone limits Pound recovery potential.

  • Trade Policy: UK trade deficit concerns may weigh on Sterling’s long-term outlook.

  • Monetary Policy: The Bank of England is expected to maintain its cautious stance as inflation remains sticky.

Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Downtrend moderates, with early signs of base formation.

  • Resistance: 1.3220

  • Support: 1.3080

  • Forecast: Consolidation likely before potential rebound toward 1.3200 if U.S. data disappoints.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Mixed, with traders hesitant to build fresh long positions ahead of U.S. data.

  • Catalysts: BoE commentary, U.S. labor market data, and risk sentiment shifts.

EUR/JPY Forecast

Current Price and Context

EUR/JPY slipped toward 177.00 as rising speculation about potential BoJ rate hikes strengthened the Yen. The Euro’s weakness was amplified by softer Eurozone manufacturing data, dampening risk appetite across the region.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing European energy security concerns limit Euro support.

  • US Economic Data: Limited direct impact but could shift global yield sentiment.

  • FOMC Outcome: A sustained hawkish Fed keeps risk sentiment fragile.

  • Trade Policy: Japan’s trade balance improvement adds confidence to Yen buyers.

  • Monetary Policy: BoJ officials signaling potential tightening weighed heavily on EUR/JPY.

     

Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Bearish bias persists.

  • Resistance: 178.20

  • Support: 176.60

  • Forecast: Potential further downside toward 176.00 if BoJ rhetoric strengthens.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Bearish amid rising BoJ rate expectations.

  • Catalysts: BoJ policy updates, Eurozone inflation figures.

AUD/NZD Forecast

Current Price and Context

AUD/NZD hovered near 1.1480, its highest level since September 2022, as the Australian Dollar benefited from the RBA’s steady rate stance and a mildly upbeat tone on inflation control. The Kiwi lagged amid slower New Zealand growth expectations.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Limited direct influence but overall market caution supports carry trades.

  • US Economic Data: Indirectly influences risk appetite and commodity demand.

  • FOMC Outcome: Hawkish Fed limits broader AUD upside against USD but not NZD.

  • Trade Policy: Stable regional trade ties support AUD relative to NZD.

  • Monetary Policy: Divergence between RBA’s steady stance and RBNZ’s dovish tone favors AUD strength.

     

Technical Outlook

  • Trend: trong uptrend continuation.

  • Resistance: 1.1500

  • Support: 1.1400

  • Forecast: Bullish momentum could extend if AUD maintains yield advantage.

     

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Optimistic, driven by strong AUD fundamentals.

  • Catalysts: RBA minutes, Australian retail sales, NZD GDP updates.

USD/CAD Forecast

Current Price and Context

USD/CAD traded above 1.4050 as the U.S. Dollar strengthened on firm yields and weaker oil prices weighed on the Canadian Dollar. Investors anticipate cautious tones from both the Fed and the Bank of Canada (BoC) this week.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Global oil supply uncertainty keeps CAD under pressure.

  • US Economic Data: Robust U.S. data reinforces Dollar demand.

  • FOMC Outcome: Fed’s hawkish bias favors USD resilience.

  • Trade Policy: U.S.-Canada trade flows remain stable but sensitive to energy prices.

  • Monetary Policy: BoC likely to stay neutral amid fragile domestic growth.

     

Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Uptrend remains intact.

  • Resistance: 1.4100

  • Support: 1.3980

  • Forecast: Potential test of 1.4100 if oil remains under pressure.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Bullish USD bias.

  • Catalysts: Crude oil prices, U.S. ISM manufacturing data, BoC policy remarks.

AUD/JPY Forecast

Current Price and Context

AUD/JPY slipped after the RBA held rates steady at 3.6%, triggering selling pressure on the Aussie. The pair currently trades near 96.50, as traders shift focus to Japan’s evolving rate outlook.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Asia-Pacific trade stability provides mild support.

  • US Economic Data: Indirect impact via global risk sentiment.

  • FOMC Outcome: Hawkish Fed keeps JPY demand steady as a funding currency.

  • Trade Policy: Strong Japan export performance underpins Yen demand.

  • Monetary Policy: BoJ’s hawkish signals add downside pressure to AUD/JPY.

     

Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Bearish correction phase.

  • Resistance: 97.20

  • Support: 96.10

  • Forecast: Further weakness likely if BoJ rhetoric strengthens and AUD momentum fades.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Bearish due to divergent central bank tones.

  • Catalysts: RBA meeting minutes, BoJ rate policy commentary.

Wrap-up

Traders are now eyeing this week’s U.S. employment and inflation data for clearer clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate trajectory. With policy divergence among major central banks becoming more pronounced, short-term volatility in FX markets is likely to remain elevated. The spotlight stays on the RBA’s forward guidance, BoJ policy shifts, and U.S. Dollar strength as key drivers shaping cross-asset sentiment through the week.

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Palantir Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: AI Surge vs Valuation Risk | 3rd November 2025

Palantir Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: AI Surge vs Valuation Risk | 3rd November 2025

Palantir’s Growth Test

Palantir is set to report its Q3 2025 results after the U.S. market close on November 3. The company has capitalised on strong demand for its AI-platform solutions, but with more than 150% share price gain year-to-date and elevated valuation multiples, this quarter could test how well Palantir translates momentum into sustainable value.

Palantir Performance Snapshot

Expected Revenue: ~US$1.09 billion (≈ 50% YoY growth)

Estimated Adjusted EPS: ~US$0.17 per share (≈ 70% YoY growth)

Commercial segment growth: ~56% YoY; Government segment growth: ~48% YoY

Palantir Q3 2025 Earnings Forecast

Current Price and Context

Palantir shares are trading around $215, just below recent highs, reflecting strong investor confidence in its AI momentum. Analysts expect continued revenue expansion, but with valuation stretched, the focus will shift toward margins and sustainability of commercial growth.

Key Focus Areas

1.AI Platform Expansion – The Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) remains Palantir’s biggest driver, with enterprise adoption accelerating across manufacturing, healthcare, and defense.

2.Commercial vs Government Mix – Rapid commercial growth is narrowing Palantir’s reliance on U.S. government contracts, a trend key to sustaining diversification.

3.Profitability and Margins – Investors will monitor whether gross margins remain above 80% and operating margins above 30%, confirming leverage from scaling software deployments.

4.Valuation Sensitivity – After a massive rally, Palantir trades at over 60× forward earnings; any sign of decelerating growth could spark volatility.

5. Guidance and Global Outlook – Updates on AI expansion into Europe and Asia and FY2026 revenue projections will shape near-term sentiment.

Technical and Market Outlook

Trend: Bullish but near overbought zone

Resistance: $220

Support: $185

Forecast: A strong earnings beat and upbeat FY2026 guidance could lift shares toward $225, while margin compression or weaker bookings may see pullback toward $185.

Investor Sentiment

Market sentiment remains constructive. Institutional flows show selective accumulation, but analysts caution that the stock’s valuation already prices in aggressive growth assumptions.

Wrap-up

Palantir’s upcoming earnings will be more than a growth report — it’s a credibility test for its AI transformation story. If management delivers clear evidence of durable margins and commercial traction, the stock could extend its impressive run. But any stumble in guidance or cost discipline may remind investors how high the expectations have become.

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Spotify Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: User Growth Meets Profit Reality | 3rd November 2025

Spotify Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: User Growth Meets Profit Reality | 3rd November 2025

Streams Up, Margins Thin

Spotify Technology (NYSE: SPOT) is set to release its third-quarter 2025 earnings this week, with investors watching closely for signs that strong subscriber momentum can offset mounting content and licensing costs. The streaming giant continues to expand its global footprint while navigating tighter margins amid fierce competition from Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Amazon.

Spotify Performance Snapshot

Spotify Q3 2025 Earnings Forecast

Current Price and Context

Spotify’s shares have traded in a narrow range ahead of the report, hovering near $265. Analysts project revenue of $4.25 billion, up roughly 12% year-on-year, while earnings per share are expected around $1.28. The company’s recent push toward premium pricing and podcast monetization could help sustain profitability, though rising operational expenses remain a concern.

Key Factors to Watch

1.Subscriber Growth & Engagement – Spotify’s paid subscriber base, expected to top 250 million, remains a primary growth engine. Active user metrics and premium conversion rates will be closely scrutinized.

2.Ad-Supported Segment Recovery – Improvements in advertising demand, especially from the US and European markets, could help offset slower ARPU growth.

3.Content Costs & Margins – Rising music licensing fees and podcast content investments continue to pressure gross margins, which analysts expect to hover near 28%.

4.AI and Personalization – Spotify’s growing use of AI-driven recommendation tools and custom playlist features could boost engagement and ad efficiency.

5. Outlook Guidance – Investors will look for updated commentary on FY2025 margin targets and any hints of strategic shifts in pricing or cost control.

Technical and Market Outlook

Spotify stock has maintained a mild uptrend, supported by its 50-day moving average and robust YTD gains.

Trend: Moderately bullish ahead of results

Resistance: $275.00

Support: $250.00

Forecast: A strong earnings beat could drive shares toward $280, while a weak margin outlook may trigger a pullback toward $245.

Investor Sentiment

Sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. Institutional flows suggest confidence in Spotify’s ability to balance growth and profitability, though analysts warn that any slowdown in user engagement could quickly weigh on near-term momentum.

Wrap-up

Spotify’s Q3 results will test its balance between scale and sustainability. Investors are less concerned about revenue beats and more focused on profitability trends and long-term margin improvement. The earnings release could define sentiment for the broader digital media sector heading into year-end.

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Cautious Sentiment Lifts Gold, Oil Gains on OPEC+ Pause | 3rd November 2025

Cautious Sentiment Lifts Gold, Oil Gains on OPEC+ Pause | 3rd November 2025

Caution Lifts Gold, Oil

Global markets started the week on a cautious note as investors sought safety in precious metals while monitoring shifting supply signals in energy markets.

Gold and Silver advanced amid renewed defensive demand, driven by persistent geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around the Fed’s next policy steps. Meanwhile, crude oil prices rebounded above $61.00 after OPEC+ hinted at pausing its planned production increases, easing concerns of an imminent supply glut.

In currency markets, the Japanese Yen remained under pressure amid speculation about the Bank of Japan’s next move, while the Chinese Yuan held steady following a stable PBoC reference rate.

Gold Price Forecast (XAU/USD)

Current Price and Context

Gold trades around $4,000, recovering from last week’s decline as risk-off sentiment supports renewed defensive demand. However, upside momentum remains capped by a modestly firmer US Dollar and cautious market positioning ahead of key US economic data releases.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing global political uncertainty continues to bolster demand for metals as protective assets.

  • US Economic Data: Upcoming US labor and inflation figures could influence near-term rate expectations and gold’s trajectory.

  • FOMC Outcome: Markets remain divided on the Fed’s December rate outlook, with dovish bets offering limited upside for gold.

  • Trade Policy: Easing US-China tensions reduce extreme safe-haven inflows, tempering gold’s momentum.

  • Monetary Policy: Central bank gold purchases remain supportive, providing a steady floor to prices.

Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Consolidation phase after rebounding from a two-week low.

  • Resistance: $4,050 remains the key ceiling before $4,100.

  • Support: Initial support sits near $3,970, followed by $3,950.

  • Forecast: Neutral-to-bullish; gold may hold above $3,950 unless stronger US data triggers fresh USD gains.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Cautious optimism prevails as investors maintain selective exposure to metals.

  • Catalysts: Upcoming Fed speeches and US economic indicators will guide short-term direction.

Silver Price Forecast (XAG/USD)

Current Price and Context

Silver trades near $49.00, extending its rebound amid renewed demand for defensive and industrial metals. Traders remain cautious, with profit-taking likely if the US Dollar strengthens ahead of major economic releases.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Persistent global trade uncertainties sustain moderate demand for tangible assets like silver.

  • US Economic Data: Anticipation of upcoming CPI and labor market data weighs on speculative positioning.

  • FOMC Outcome: Expectations for steady policy guidance limit volatility but maintain underlying support.

  • Trade Policy: Improving trade relations slightly reduce defensive demand but aid industrial outlook.

  • Monetary Policy: The Fed’s cautious tone underpins silver’s role as an inflation hedge.


Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Gradual recovery with fading downside momentum.

  • Resistance: $49.40 and $50.00 are critical upside levels.

  • Support: Immediate floor seen at $48.40, then $47.80.

  • Forecast: Mildly bullish; potential to test $49.50 if Dollar remains subdued.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Balanced, with investors rotating between safe-haven and industrial exposure.

  • Catalysts: US inflation data and Treasury yield shifts to influence next move.

WTI Crude Oil Forecast

Current Price and Context

WTI trades around $61.00, supported by OPEC+’s decision to pause planned production hikes. The announcement eased oversupply concerns and lifted market sentiment, though global demand growth remains under scrutiny.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Middle East supply stability remains fragile, keeping prices sensitive to regional developments.

  • US Economic Data: Mixed US growth data hint at steady fuel demand, limiting further declines.

  • FOMC Outcome: Stable Fed policy outlook supports broader market confidence and commodity appetite.

  • Trade Policy: Improving US-China trade tone supports industrial demand prospects.

  • Monetary Policy: Continued rate-hold expectations favor risk assets like oil.


Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Reversal from prior downtrend; momentum turning positive.

  • Resistance: $61.70, followed by $62.50.

  • Support: Key floors at $60.30 and $59.80.

  • Forecast: Bullish bias; potential retest of $62.00 if OPEC+ unity holds.


Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Optimistic following OPEC+’s decision and steady global demand.

  • Catalysts: US inventory data and OPEC+ commentary remain key short-term triggers.

USD/JPY Forecast

Current Price and Context

USD/JPY trades near 154.00, with the Yen remaining under pressure amid persistent BoJ uncertainty. Traders await clarity on Japan’s inflation outlook and possible yield curve control adjustments.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Regional political stability in Asia tempers demand for the Yen as a risk hedge.

  • US Economic Data: Stronger US data could widen rate differentials, weighing on JPY.

  • FOMC Outcome: A hawkish-leaning Fed tone could reinforce USD strength versus the Yen.

  • Trade Policy: US-Japan cooperation in critical materials may lend long-term support to JPY sentiment.

  • Monetary Policy: Speculation of eventual BoJ tightening remains the main driver of volatility.


Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Range-bound with mild USD bias.

  • Resistance: 154.50 and 155.00.

  • Support: 153.20 and 152.70.

  • Forecast: Neutral-to-bearish; potential downside correction if BoJ rhetoric turns hawkish.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Mixed as traders weigh divergent policy paths between the Fed and BoJ.

  • Catalysts: BoJ statements and US yields to steer pair direction.

USD/CNY Forecast

Current Price and Context

USD/CNY holds steady near 7.0867 after the PBoC set a slightly stronger reference rate. Markets interpret the move as a signal that Beijing is content with maintaining Yuan stability amid global policy uncertainty.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Reduced US-China friction offers some relief to regional currencies.

  • US Economic Data: Upcoming US figures could influence global risk appetite and Dollar demand.

  • FOMC Outcome: Fed policy clarity could determine USD flows toward Asia.

  • Trade Policy: Constructive dialogue between Washington and Beijing supports Yuan resilience.

  • Monetary Policy: PBoC’s measured easing stance continues to anchor the currency’s range.


Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Sideways with limited volatility.

  • Resistance: 7.0950 and 7.1100.

  • Support: 7.0750 and 7.0600.

  • Forecast: Stable bias; modest Yuan strength possible if risk sentiment improves.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Neutral, with confidence in China’s near-term currency management.

  • Catalysts: PBoC rate guidance and US-China trade updates remain key influencers.

Wrap-up

Investor focus now turns to this week’s central bank remarks and US economic data, which could determine whether risk appetite strengthens or safe-haven flows persist.

A cautious tone continues to define market sentiment, with traders balancing optimism over oil stability against ongoing policy and inflation uncertainties across major economies.

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Hawkish Fed Tone Keeps Dollar Firm, Metals Mixed | 31st October 2025

Hawkish Fed Tone Keeps Dollar Firm, Metals Mixed | 31st October 2025

Fed Holds the Line

Global markets traded cautiously today as the US Dollar held firm following a series of hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, which tempered expectations for near-term rate cuts.
Gold and silver saw mild safe-haven inflows, but gains were capped by stronger yields and a resilient greenback. Meanwhile, risk currencies such as the Aussie retreated after weak Chinese PMI data, while USD/JPY slipped as sticky Tokyo inflation fueled fresh speculation around a possible BoJ policy shift.

Gold Price Forecast (XAU/USD)

Current Price and Context

Gold edges higher but remains below $4,050, supported by safe-haven flows amid geopolitical tensions and a firm Dollar. The metal continues to attract cautious bids as investors weigh the Fed’s hawkish tone against ongoing global uncertainty.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and rising political uncertainty sustain gold’s appeal.

  • US Economic Data: Stronger economic indicators reinforced the Fed’s confidence in maintaining higher rates.

  • FOMC Outcome: Policymakers’ hawkish rhetoric suggests rate cuts may be delayed into 2026.

  • Trade Policy: Limited trade news kept risk sentiment steady but muted safe-haven demand.

  • Monetary Policy: The Fed’s “higher for longer” stance keeps gold gains constrained near key resistance.

Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Mildly bullish consolidation below $4,050.

  • Resistance: $4,000 and $3,960.

  • Support: $3,920 and $3,880.

  • Forecast: Gold may remain range-bound, with upside capped unless risk sentiment deteriorates sharply.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Mixed; traders balance rate expectations with geopolitical risk.

  • Catalysts: Upcoming Fed speeches, US PCE inflation data, and geopolitical updates.

Silver Price Forecast (XAG/USD)

Current Price and Context

Silver trades near $49.00, steady amid a firm Dollar and cautious tone ahead of comments from Fed officials. Despite softer risk appetite, industrial demand prospects keep the metal supported.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Supply chain concerns continue to underpin base and precious metals.

  • US Economic Data: Resilient US growth dampens aggressive rate-cut bets.

  • FOMC Outcome: Hawkish Fed tone limits silver’s upside momentum.

  • Trade Policy: Stable global trade environment supports underlying demand

  • Monetary Policy: Higher-for-longer rates temper speculative buying interest.

     

Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Consolidating near short-term highs.

  • Resistance: $49.30 and $49.80.

  • Support: $48.60 and $48.10.

  • Forecast: Silver likely to hold firm; breakout above $49.30 may open room toward $50.00.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Neutral; investors await Fed commentary for next directional cue.

  • Catalysts: Fed speeches, ISM manufacturing data, and US bond yield movements.

AUD/USD Forecast

Current Price and Context

AUD/USD hovers near 0.6550, pressured by soft Chinese PMI readings and a stronger greenback. Risk sentiment remains fragile as traders adjust to diminishing Fed rate-cut prospects.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing global tensions weigh on commodity-linked currencies.

  • US Economic Data: Strong US data reinforces Dollar strength, undermining the Aussie.

  • FOMC Outcome: Fed’s hawkish signals curb appetite for high-beta currencies.

  • Trade Policy: Chinese trade data weakness limits optimism around export demand.

  • Monetary Policy: RBA remains cautiously neutral, with focus shifting to domestic inflation prints.

     

Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Bearish bias below 0.6570

  • Resistance: .6580 and 0.6620.

  • Support: 0.6520 and 0.6480.

  • Forecast: AUD/USD may test lower toward 0.6500 if risk aversion persists.

     

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Risk-off tone prevails as traders favor USD safety.

  • Catalysts: Chinese economic data, US employment figures, and Fed remarks.

USD/CAD Forecast

Current Price and Context

USD/CAD holds steady near 1.4000, with the greenback buoyed by strong yields and fading expectations for Fed rate cuts. Oil prices remain range-bound, offering little relief for the Canadian Dollar.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Stable energy supply outlook limits CAD volatility.

  • US Economic Data: Robust US GDP and employment trends strengthen USD demand.

  • FOMC Outcome: Hawkish tilt reinforces the Dollar’s dominance.

  • Trade Policy: Balanced US–Canada trade flows limit short-term directionality.

  • Monetary Policy: BoC’s dovish lean relative to the Fed supports upward USD/CAD pressure.

     

Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Sideways-to-bullish above 1.3950.

  • Resistance: 1.4020 and 1.4060.

  • Support: 1.3950 and 1.3900.

  • Forecast: USD/CAD could extend gains toward 1.4050 if the Fed narrative remains hawkish.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Neutral-to-bullish for USD as traders brace for higher yields.

  • Catalysts: US PCE data, oil inventory updates, and BoC commentary.

USD/JPY Forecast

Current Price and Context

USD/JPY trades below 154.00 as Tokyo CPI remains above the BoJ’s 2% target, rekindling expectations of further policy normalization in Japan. The Yen strengthened modestly amid a dip in Treasury yields.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Regional tensions in Asia keep JPY demand modestly supported.

  • US Economic Data: Strong figures keep Fed policy tight but limit yield divergence.

  • FOMC Outcome: Hawkish stance keeps upward bias intact for USD/JPY, though gains are capped by BoJ tightening bets.

  • Trade Policy: Stable Japan–US relations minimize volatility.

  • Monetary Policy: Persistent inflation pressures support speculation of gradual BoJ normalization.

     

Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Neutral-to-bearish below 154.00.

  • Resistance: 154.30 and 154.80.

  • Support: 153.50 and 153.00.

  • Forecast: Pair could consolidate, with downside risk if BoJ commentary turns more hawkish.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Cautiously bearish for USD/JPY as traders await BoJ cues.

  • Catalysts: Tokyo inflation data, BoJ policy guidance, and US yield movements.

Wrap-up

Markets enter the final trading day of October balancing a hawkish Fed narrative against mixed global data. The Dollar’s resilience continues to pressure major currencies, while safe-haven metals remain underpinned by geopolitical risks. Looking ahead, traders will focus on US inflation and employment data as key indicators for the Fed’s December trajectory.

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Amazon Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: Cloud Strength Meets Margin Pressure | 30th October 2025

Amazon Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: Cloud Strength Meets Margin Pressure | 30th October 2025

Amazon Q3 2025 Earnings

Cloud Strength, Retail Pressure and AI Investment Load

Amazon is set to release its Q3 2025 earnings on October 30 (after market close). Business Insider+4aboutamazon.com+4IG+4 With solid growth expected in its core businesses — especially Amazon Web Services (AWS) and advertising — the key question is whether Amazon can balance growth with rising capital expenditures and margin pressures as AI, cloud and logistics investments build.

Amazon Performance Snapshot

  • Estimated Revenue: ~$177.7 billion, approximately +12% year-on-year.

  • Estimated Adjusted EPS: ~$1.57 per share.

  • AWS and AI infrastructure investments remain a major driver (and cost centre) for the quarter.

  • Options market already pricing in a ~6% move in either direction in response to this report.

Key Drivers & Focus Areas

1.AWS Growth & Monetisation: Investors will focus on whether AWS can maintain or re-accelerate its growth trajectory (targeting ~18–20% YoY) rather than simply mid-teens growth.

2. Advertising and E-commerce Momentum: Amazon’s higher-margin advertising business and its core e-commerce operations remain critical. A strong showing here helps offset the cost burden of its growth areas.

3. Capital Expenditure, AI & Margin Pressure: Heavy investment in AI, data-centres and logistics is weighing on margins. Investors will look for signs of improved operating leverage or at least no further deterioration.

4. Guidance & Holiday Outlook: With Q3 results acting as a lead-in to the important Q4 holiday season, guidance on costs, logistics efficiency and global demand will be closely watched.

5. Technical & Valuation Considerations: Technically the stock is seen as under-performing peers thus far this year, and its valuation is viewed as relatively attractive — if growth proves durable, upside may be significant.

Technical and Market Outlook

  • Trend: Neutral to slightly bullish — room to surprise if key metrics beat.

  • Resistance: ~$240–$265 range (based on recent analyst targets).

  • Support: ~$210–$215 zone.

  • Forecast:A strong Q3 beat and bullish guidance could push shares into ~$250+ territory; a miss or weak outlook could see a test of ~$210 support.

     

Sentiment & Catalysts

Market Sentiment: Cautious optimism. Many analysts still bullish on Amazon’s multiple engines (cloud, advertising, logistics) but concerned about cost/margin drag.

Catalysts: Q3 earnings release (Oct 30), AWS growth numbers, advertising growth, capex disclosures, holiday-season guidance, and options market implied volatility.

Wrap-up

Amazon’s upcoming Q3 report is more than just another earnings release — it may be a pivotal moment in determining whether the company can convert its scale and AI/cloud investments into meaningful profit and growth momentum. Strong top-line growth is likely, but the market will reward clear signs of margin improvement, efficient capital spending, and credible guidance into holiday demand. For investors, the question isn’t if Amazon grows, but how sustainably it grows — and whether this quarter confirms a re-rating in its valuation.

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Coinbase Q3 Preview: Trading Rebounds, Margins Under Strain | 30th October 2025

Coinbase Q3 Preview: Trading Rebounds, Margins Under Strain | 30th October 2025

Coinbase Q3 2025 Earnings

Volume Rebounds, But Margin Reality Awaits

Coinbase is due to release its Q3 2025 results after U.S. markets close on October 30, 2025. The exchange enters this earnings cycle on the back of a strong recovery in trading volumes and rising institutional interest — yet the key question for investors is whether these tailwinds translate into sustainable profitability amid fee compression and regulatory headwinds.

Coinbase Performance Snapshot

  • Estimated Revenue: ~$1.79 billion (up ~44% YoY

  • Estimated Adjusted EPS: ~$1.13 (vs ~$0.66 in Q3 ’24)

  • Forecast Trading Volume: ~$299 billion (up ~62% YoY)

  • Monthly Transacting Users (MTUs): ~8.6 million (up ~10% YoY)

Key Drivers & Focus Areas

1. Trading-Volume Surge + Fee Pressure –Trading volume appears to be rebounding strongly thanks to institutional flows and renewed crypto activity. However, lower transaction fees and margin squeeze remain risks — strong volume alone may not translate into proportional profits.

2. Subscription & Services Growth –Beyond trading, Coinbase’s subscription and services vertical (staking, custody, stablecoin-based revenue) is expected to accelerate and provide more stable margin support. Investors will watch how material this segment becomes.

3. Cost Discipline & Operating Leverage –With the backdrop of volume recovery, management’s ability to control expenses and achieve operating leverage is under scrutiny. If trading volumes falter, cost discipline will be even more critical.

4. Regulatory & Market Risk –Crypto trading is highly sensitive to regulatory shifts, market volatility and policy changes around stablecoins. Any disruption could quickly impact Coinbase’s revenue streams.

Technical and Market Outlook

  • Trend: Cautiously bullish given volume recovery, but risk heightened by margin/fee uncertainty.

  • Resistance: ~$120 (pending breakout)

  • Support: ~$95–100 zone

  • Forecast: If Coinbase posts stronger than expected volume and subscription growth, shares could target ~$130. Conversely, weak margin guidance or regulatory setbacks could test ~$95 support.


Sentiment & Catalysts

Market Sentiment: Optimistic about volume rebound and institutional interest, but tempered by questions around margin sustainability.

Key Catalysts: Q3 earnings release (Oct 30), guidance on transaction revenue and subscription growth, commentary on regulatory environment and cost outlook.

Wrap-up

Coinbase’s Q3 earnings report could be a pivotal moment. The volume recovery story is compelling — yet the central challenge remains translating that into strong, consistent profitability. For investors, the key takeaway will be whether Coinbase is moving beyond cyclical rebounds into a structural growth and margin improvement phase. A solid beat and bullish guidance could fuel upside — but any sign of margin pressure or regulatory headwinds may dampen enthusiasm.

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Markets on Edge as trump-Xi Meeting Takes Center Stage | 30th October 2025

Markets on Edge as trump-Xi Meeting Takes Center Stage | 30th October 2025

Leaders in Focus

Global markets traded cautiously today as investors closely watched the ongoing Trump–Xi meeting, a key event that could reshape global trade sentiment and risk appetite. While commodities like gold and silver held within recent ranges, risk currencies such as the Aussie and Kiwi advanced on hopes of a more constructive dialogue between the two leaders. Meanwhile, the US Dollar softened slightly as traders awaited any hint of renewed trade cooperation or policy alignment from Washington and Beijing.

Gold Price Forecast (XAU/USD)

Current Price and Context

Gold holds steady near $3,950, consolidating after a modest rebound earlier in the week. Traders are treading carefully ahead of the Trump–Xi outcome, balancing safe-haven demand with improving global trade optimism.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Uncertainty surrounding global trade relations and Middle East tensions continue to support underlying gold demand.

  • US Economic Data: Recent soft manufacturing and consumer confidence data reinforce the case for potential rate cuts.

  • FOMC Outcome: The Fed’s cautious tone earlier this week helped limit downside risks for gold.

  • Trade Policy: Hopes of a more cooperative US–China framework cap safe-haven inflows.

  • Monetary Policy: Expectations of gradual easing by major central banks sustain gold’s medium-term bullish appeal.

Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Consolidating after testing two-week highs.

  • Resistance: $3,975 and $4,000.

  • Support: $3,920 and $3,880.

  • Forecast: Gold may extend gains toward $4,000 if the Trump–Xi meeting fails to deliver concrete progress.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Cautiously bullish; traders prefer holding long exposure into event risk.

  • Catalysts: Trump–Xi outcomes, US labor data, and any Fed commentary.

Silver Price Forecast (XAG/USD)

Current Price and Context

Silver trades near the mid-$47.00s, showing mixed momentum as investors balance optimism in risk assets with lingering caution ahead of trade developments.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Safe-haven appeal remains secondary to industrial demand prospects.

  • US Economic Data: Slight weakness in US growth expectations supports industrial metals.

  • FOMC Outcome: Fed’s neutral stance prevents strong dollar resurgence, aiding silver’s stability.

  • Trade Policy: Positive tone from US–China talks could lift industrial sentiment.

  • Monetary Policy: Ongoing global easing bias underpins medium-term metal demand.


Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Range-bound with mild bullish bias.

  • Resistance: $47.80 and $48.30

  • Support: $47.00 and $46.60.

  • Forecast: Silver could attempt a recovery toward $48.00 if trade optimism improves.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Neutral-to-positive as traders await confirmation from the Trump–Xi dialogue.

  • Catalysts: Industrial data releases, trade headlines, and Fed commentary.

NZD/USD Forecast

Current Price and Context

NZD/USD holds above 0.5750, extending gains for a third consecutive session. The pair benefits from a softer US Dollar and upbeat sentiment surrounding potential trade cooperation between the US and China.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Trade progress could bolster New Zealand’s export outlook.

  • US Economic Data: Slightly weaker US data limits upside in the greenback.

  • FOMC Outcome: Dovish undertones favor high-beta currencies like the Kiwi.

  • Trade Policy: Any positive Trump–Xi statement may further strengthen NZD sentiment.

  • Monetary Policy: The RBNZ’s cautious optimism aligns with gradual recovery expectations.


Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Bullish bias remains intact above 0.5750.

  • Resistance: 0.5800 and 0.5850.

  • Support: 0.5720 and 0.5680.

  • Forecast: Upside continuation toward 0.5800 if trade talks end on a positive note.


Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Risk-on tone persists as traders price in trade optimism.

  • Catalysts: Trump–Xi statements, US data releases, and Fed policy hints.

USD/CAD Forecast

Current Price and Context

USD/CAD trades below 1.3950, weighed down by a softer US Dollar and steady crude oil prices. Traders await clarity from both the Trump–Xi meeting and recent policy stances from the Fed and BoC.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Stable energy outlook limits safe-haven demand for USD.

  • US Economic Data: Mixed US prints keep rate expectations subdued.

  • FOMC Outcome: Dovish tone reinforces downside pressure on USD/CAD.

  • Trade Policy: Improved global trade sentiment could further support CAD.

  • Monetary Policy: BoC’s measured approach offers a modest tailwind for the loonie.


Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Mild downtrend below 1.3950.

  • Resistance: 1.3980 and 1.4020.

  • Support: 1.3900 and 1.3850.

  • Forecast: Pair may test 1.3850 if USD weakness persists post-meeting.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Bearish bias as traders favor commodity-linked currencies.

  • Catalysts: OPEC+ output updates, Trump–Xi outcome, and BoC commentary.

AUD/USD Forecast

Current Price and Context

AUD/USD climbs toward 0.6600, buoyed by renewed optimism around the US–China dialogue. The Australian Dollar’s close trade ties with China make it a key beneficiary of any constructive developments.

Key Drivers

  • Geopolitical Risks: Reduced trade tensions favor AUD stability.

  • US Economic Data: Weak US readings add to pressure on the greenback.

  • FOMC Outcome: Continued dovish tone may lift AUD further.

  • Trade Policy: Trump–Xi meeting remains the primary driver of short-term momentum.

  • Monetary Policy: The RBA’s steady outlook supports ongoing recovery in the Aussie.


Technical Outlook

  • Trend: Uptrend continues above 0.6550.

  • Resistance: 0.6600 and 0.6640.

  • Support: 0.6560 and 0.6520.

  • Forecast: Pair could advance beyond 0.6600 if US–China headlines stay positive.

Sentiment and Catalysts

  • Market Sentiment: Constructive, with traders leaning toward further upside.

  • Catalysts: Trump–Xi joint statement, China PMI, and Fed follow-up remarks.

Wrap-up

Market sentiment remains finely balanced as investors await concrete updates from the Trump–Xi meeting, which could redefine near-term risk appetite across assets. Safe-haven demand in gold and silver remains underpinned by uncertainty, while risk currencies like the Aussie and Kiwi show resilience on hopes of progress. The next 24 hours may set the tone for November’s broader market direction as traders assess policy signals, trade implications, and central bank outlooks.

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Meta Q3 Earnings: AI Growth Meets Cash Pressures | 29th October 2025

Meta Q3 Earnings: AI Growth Meets Cash Pressures | 29th October 2025

Meta Earnings

AI-Fueled Growth Meets Capital Intensity

Meta Platforms is gearing up to release its Q3 2025 results on October 29 (after U.S. markets close). The spotlight is on how well the company is converting its aggressive AI investments into ad revenue growth—while managing mounting infrastructure and hardware costs. With ad spending momentum strong but capex and ROI scrutiny rising, this report could set the tone for Meta’s next-phase narrative.

Meta's Performance Snapshot

  • Revenue Estimate: ~$49.4 billion (~21.8% YoY)

  • Earnings per Share Estimate: ~$6.60 (~9.5% YoY)

  • Advertising Revenue Estimate: ~$48.5 billion (~21.6% YoY)

  • Capex/AI Spending: Capex for 2025 expected around US$66-72 billion, with heavy hardware investment weighing on near-term margins.

Earnings Focus Areas

1. AI-Driven Ad Monetisation –Meta’s key growth engine remains its ability to use AI in ad targeting and engagement. Analysts expect its “Family of Apps” to show stronger ad yields thanks to Gen-AI features, and for conversion rates to continue improving.

2. Revenue Mix & Geographic Expansion –With its advertising business projected to grow strongly, Meta’s ability to maintain growth outside mature geographies (e.g., Rest of World) will be important. Revenue from international regions is expected to grow ~25%.

3. Cost, Capex & Margin Pressure –While top-line growth looks solid, Meta’s massive investment in AI infrastructure and Reality Labs (and related hardware) is putting pressure on margins and ROI. Investors will closely watch how Meta manages operating margin and free cash flow amid heavy capex.

4. Competitive & Regulatory Headwinds –Meta faces stiff competition from other ad platforms and shifting regulatory/privacy dynamics. The scale and speed of its AI deployment may bring both upside and risk—especially if monetisation lags.

5. Capital Allocation & Buyback / Return Strategy –  Given its strong cash generation and bullish growth outlook, the company’s buyback strategy, dividend decisions and return of capital plans will also be under scrutiny.

Technical and Market Outlook

  • Trend: Moderately bullish, buoyed by AI narrative and solid ad growth.

  • Resistance: ~$900 level (implied by some analyst targets)

  • Support: ~$825–850 region

  • Forecast: If Meta beats on growth and gives strong guidance, a move toward the ~$900 level is plausible. Conversely, if margin or ROI concerns dominate, a test of the ~$825 support zone may occur.

     

Sentiment & Catalysts

Market Sentiment: Optimistic but cautious. Many analysts favour Meta given its ad dominance and AI position, but the growing capex burden raises questions about sustainability. 

Key Catalysts: Q3 earnings release (Oct 29), guidance for Q4 and full-year 2025, updates on AI monetisation, ad-business increments, and capex/FCF disclosures.

Wrap-up

Meta’s Q3 report is poised to reaffirm its status as a leader in digital advertising—especially if AI monetisation starts to show stronger returns. The key will be whether high-growth can be sustained without eroding profitability or piling up excessive infrastructure costs. For investors, the takeaway could be the difference between Meta remaining a robust growth play or shifting toward a more cautious value-oriented mindset.

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